GGOALVIO

Switzerland · AXA Women’s Super League · 12/7/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Gallen W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

St. Gallen W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Thun W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Thun W hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while St. Gallen W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Gallen W

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

St. Gallen W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Gallen WDLWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Thun WLLDDL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
St. Gallen WThun W
33.3Attack47.2
0.0Defence15.3
0.0Form34.7
15.3Power33.1
2.67xG1.59
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