GGOALVIO

Switzerland · AXA Women’s Super League · 9/16/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Gallen W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

St. Gallen W are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Thun W are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Thun W hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while St. Gallen W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Gallen W

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

St. Gallen W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Gallen WDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Thun WLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
St. Gallen WThun W
33.3Attack47.2
0.0Defence15.3
0.0Form34.7
15.3Power33.1
2.67xG1.59
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