GGOALVIO

Switzerland · AXA Women’s Super League · 5/3/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Gallen W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

St. Gallen W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Luzern W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Luzern W hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while St. Gallen W holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Gallen W

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

St. Gallen W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Gallen WWDLWD

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Luzern WLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
St. Gallen WLuzern W
33.3Attack33.3
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
15.3Power23.7
1.79xG1.64
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