GGOALVIO

Switzerland · 1. Liga Promotion · 8/12/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Gallen II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

St. Gallen II are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 1.25 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Servette II are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Gallen II hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.4% in the 1. Liga Promotion, while St. Gallen II holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Gallen II

Probability

54.4%

Model confidence

54.4%

St. Gallen II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Gallen IILLLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.25/3.50

BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
Servette IIDD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
St. Gallen IIServette II
54.9Attack46.1
40.2Defence33.3
36.3Form27.5
44.7Power37.9
2.46xG1.51
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