Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Anna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
St. Anna are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lebring are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Anna hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (54.8 v 29.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while St. Anna holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
St. Anna
Probability
72.0%
Model confidence
8.5%
St. Anna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80