GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 3/3/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heidelberg United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

St. Albans Saints are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Heidelberg United are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Heidelberg United hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Victoria NPL, while Heidelberg United holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heidelberg United

Probability

48.5%

Model confidence

48.5%

Heidelberg United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Albans SaintsDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 2.50/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Heidelberg UnitedDL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
St. Albans SaintsHeidelberg United
38.9Attack52.8
41.7Defence54.2
38.9Form47.2
42.3Power52.7
1.13xG1.76
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