St. Albans Saintsvs
Dandenong Thunder
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Albans Saints · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
St. Albans Saints 6-0 Dandenong Thunder
Original prediction
St. Albans Saints
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 74.4% | 68.6% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 6.03 | 15.1% | 17.5% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 8.63 | 10.5% | 13.9% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
St. Albans Saints
Probability
68.6%
Model confidence
68.6%
St. Albans Saints has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 1 · GA 16 · avg 0.20/3.20