GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 4/10/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avondale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

St. Albans Saints are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Avondale are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Avondale hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 61.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the Victoria NPL, while Avondale holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avondale

Probability

70.7%

Model confidence

9.1%

Avondale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Albans SaintsLWLWL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AvondaleDLWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
St. Albans SaintsAvondale
38.9Attack84.7
41.7Defence52.8
38.9Form56.9
42.3Power61.1
1.14xG2.90
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