GGOALVIO

England · National League - South · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St Albans City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

St Albans City are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (WLLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Weymouth are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and St Albans City hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the National League - South, while St Albans City holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St Albans City

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

St Albans City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St Albans CityWLLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.75/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
WeymouthW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
St Albans CityWeymouth
55.8Attack42.0
51.4Defence53.6
49.3Form40.6
53.1Power47.1
1.70xG1.10
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