GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - West · 7/29/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lippstadt 08 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SSVg Velbert are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Lippstadt 08 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lippstadt 08 hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (35.5 v 38.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the Regionalliga - West, while Lippstadt 08 holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lippstadt 08

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

35.8%

Lippstadt 08 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SSVg VelbertWLDLL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lippstadt 08LWDLD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SSVg VelbertLippstadt 08
37.3Attack39.2
30.4Defence38.2
31.4Form32.4
35.5Power38.8
1.48xG1.52
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