GGOALVIO

Germany · 3. Liga · 8/6/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SSV Ulm 1846 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SSV Ulm 1846 are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while FC Saarbrücken are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Saarbrücken hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the 3. Liga, while SSV Ulm 1846 holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SSV Ulm 1846

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

52.5%

SSV Ulm 1846 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SSV Ulm 1846WDWWW

GF 14 · GA 1 · avg 2.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FC SaarbrückenWLWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SSV Ulm 1846FC Saarbrücken
57.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence33.3
67.5Form100.0
65.1Power80.3
1.91xG1.10
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