GGOALVIO

SSV Merten logoSSV MertenvsPorz logoPorz

COMPLETED

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 10/6/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SSV Merten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

SSV Merten are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Porz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and SSV Merten hold a 27.4-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 39.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.5% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while SSV Merten holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SSV Merten

Probability

82.5%

Model confidence

82.5%

SSV Merten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SSV MertenLWLWW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
PorzLWLDL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SSV MertenPorz
84.4Attack46.0
51.1Defence27.6
66.7Form39.1
66.7Power39.3
4.41xG1.19
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