GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 11/3/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SSV Merten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

SSV Merten are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hennef 05 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and SSV Merten hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.9% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while SSV Merten holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SSV Merten

Probability

79.9%

Model confidence

79.9%

SSV Merten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SSV MertenWWWWL

GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Hennef 05WLLWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SSV MertenHennef 05
84.4Attack49.4
51.1Defence29.9
66.7Form40.2
66.7Power41.0
4.25xG1.28
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