GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 11/17/2024, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SSV Merten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

SSV Merten are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Fortuna Köln II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and SSV Merten hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (66.7 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.7% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while SSV Merten holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SSV Merten

Probability

66.7%

Model confidence

66.7%

SSV Merten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SSV MertenWLWWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Fortuna Köln IIWWLLW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SSV MertenFortuna Köln II
84.4Attack55.2
51.1Defence46.0
66.7Form44.8
66.7Power48.8
3.21xG1.46
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