Regionalliga - NordRegionalliga - Nord
Saturday, 1 August 202614:00Updated today
SSV Jeddeloh

SSV Jeddeloh

Home
L
vs
14:00
Schöningen

Schöningen

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
SSV Jeddeloh(40%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
SSV Jeddeloh
40%
Draw
27%
Schöningen
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
SSV Jeddeloh
9
Schöningen
94
Defence
SSV Jeddeloh
6
Schöningen
0
Momentum
SSV Jeddeloh
0
Schöningen
0
Danger (xG)
SSV Jeddeloh
0.00
Schöningen
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.75 xG for SSV Jeddeloh and 1.52 xG for Schöningen — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.23), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. SSV Jeddeloh's Attack Score (9) exceeds Schöningen's Defensive Stability (0), and Schöningen's attack (94) similarly tests SSV Jeddeloh's defence (6). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.26 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating elevated xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. SSV Jeddeloh's Attack Score (9) vs Schöningen's Defensive Stability (0) and Schöningen's attack (94) vs SSV Jeddeloh's defence (6) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (SSV Jeddeloh)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Schöningen)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (SSV Jeddeloh)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Schöningen)
4.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SSV JeddelohSSV Jeddeloh
LD
SchöningenSchöningen
L

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
SSV Jeddeloh40%
Draw27%
Schöningen33%

SSV Jeddeloh leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

SSV Jeddeloh Narrow Edge — Model Projects 2-1

SSV Jeddeloh take on Schöningen in Regionalliga - Nord.

Key factors

: 🏟️ Home Advantage Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams based on empirical data showing home sides score 10–15% more goals at their own ground. SSV Jeddeloh's Elo-adjusted home strength gives them a 55% expected score in this fixture — a factor that tips the balance when the underlying numbers are close.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk Schöningen have won 0 of their last 5 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While SSV Jeddeloh carry the stronger underlying metrics, Schöningen's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

SSV Jeddeloh have a structural home advantage that the model quantifies directly. Goalvio applies an 8% xG boost for home teams — empirically derived from home sides scoring 10–15% more goals on their own ground. The Elo model gives SSV Jeddeloh a 55% expected score in this fixture. When the underlying metrics are otherwise close, home advantage is often the decisive tipping factor.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours SSV Jeddeloh, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Schöningen score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • SSV Jeddeloh have been conceding 2.77 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.23 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.

Recent form

SSV Jeddeloh

SSV Jeddeloh

L
vs Preußen Münster
17 Jul 2026
03
D
vs SV Drochtersen/Assel
16 May 2026
22
Schöningen

Schöningen

L
vs Phönix Lübeck
16 May 2026
35

Frequently asked questions

Who will win SSV Jeddeloh vs Schöningen?

GoalVio's model predicts SSV Jeddeloh to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for SSV Jeddeloh vs Schöningen?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in SSV Jeddeloh vs Schöningen?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in SSV Jeddeloh vs Schöningen?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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