Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:08
SSV Jahn Regensburg

SSV Jahn Regensburg

Home
L
23
Full time
Vilzing

Vilzing

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Vilzing37%
Draw35%
SSV Jahn Regensburg28%
Prediction correct— Result: Vilzing
Win probability
SSV Jahn Regensburg
28%
Draw
35%
Vilzing
37%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
SSV Jahn Regensburg
73
Vilzing
94
Defence
SSV Jahn Regensburg
6
Vilzing
27
Momentum
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0
Vilzing
100
Danger (xG)
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1.80
Vilzing
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.55 xG for SSV Jahn Regensburg and 1.47 xG for Vilzing — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.08), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. SSV Jahn Regensburg's Attack Score (73) exceeds Vilzing's Defensive Stability (27), and Vilzing's attack (94) similarly tests SSV Jahn Regensburg's defence (6). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.02 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (SSV Jahn Regensburg)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Vilzing)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (SSV Jahn Regensburg)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Vilzing)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg
LL
VilzingVilzing
WW

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
SSV Jahn Regensburg28%
Draw35%
Vilzing37%

Vilzing leads with 37% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Vilzing Backed to Win — Model Projects 0-1

SSV Jahn Regensburg take on Vilzing in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

SSV Jahn Regensburg 0Draws 01 Vilzing
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
15 Jul 2026
SSV Jahn Regensburg
L23
Vilzing

Recent form

SSV Jahn Regensburg

SSV Jahn Regensburg

L
vs Vilzing
15 Jul 2026
23
L
vs Energie Cottbus
16 May 2026
01
Vilzing

Vilzing

W
@ SSV Jahn Regensburg
15 Jul 2026
32
W
vs Greuther Fürth II
16 May 2026
52

Frequently asked questions

Who will win SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Vilzing?

GoalVio's model predicts Vilzing to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Vilzing?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Vilzing?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Vilzing?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more