Jahn Regensburgvs
MSV Duisburg
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MSV Duisburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jahn Regensburg 1-2 MSV Duisburg
Original prediction
MSV Duisburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.42 | 26.6% | 26.1% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.9% | 23.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.88 | 48.5% | 50.0% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
MSV Duisburg
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
MSV Duisburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00