SS Reyesvs
Real Ávila
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 10/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: SS Reyes 0-0 Real Ávila, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
SS Reyes 3-0 Real Ávila
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 45.1% | 36.1% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.5% | 31.4% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 25.4% | 32.5% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Projected Score
SS Reyes 0–0 Real Ávila
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.4%
Model confidence
36.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SS ReyesLDWWL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Real ÁvilaWWLLW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SS ReyesReal Ávila
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power80.3
0.86xG0.92