SS Reyesvs
Real Valladolid II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SS Reyes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SS Reyes 1-0 Real Valladolid II
Original prediction
SS Reyes
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.3% | 42.3% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.7% | 28.1% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.79 | 19.0% | 29.6% | 10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
SS Reyes
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
SS Reyes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80