SS Reyesvs
Calvo Sotelo
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 10/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SS Reyes · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: SS Reyes 1-0 Calvo Sotelo, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
SS Reyes 2-1 Calvo Sotelo
Original prediction
SS Reyes
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.7% | 56.0% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.5% | 25.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 6.15 | 14.7% | 18.3% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Projected Score
SS Reyes 1–0 Calvo Sotelo
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
SS Reyes
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
56.0%
SS Reyes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SS ReyesLWLDW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Calvo SoteloDLWLD
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SS ReyesCalvo Sotelo
50.0Attack11.1
66.7Defence55.6
55.6Form27.8
58.0Power34.7
1.49xG0.65