SS Monopolivs
Crotone
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone C · 9/20/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crotone · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SS Monopoli 2-2 Crotone
Original prediction
Crotone
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.1% | 32.9% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.1% | 27.9% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 26.8% | 39.1% | 12.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Crotone
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Crotone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40