SS Monopolivs
Audace Cerignola
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone C · 10/25/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: SS Monopoli 0-0 Audace Cerignola, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
SS Monopoli 2-0 Audace Cerignola
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.5% | 32.1% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.5% | 31.8% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 33.0% | 36.1% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Projected Score
SS Monopoli 0–0 Audace Cerignola
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.8%
Model confidence
36.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SS MonopoliWLDWD
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Audace CerignolaWWDLD
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SS MonopoliAudace Cerignola
36.7Attack55.6
70.0Defence70.4
50.0Form51.9
54.2Power58.1
0.73xG0.90