GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 10/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SpVgg Unterhaching · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: SpVgg Unterhaching 2-0 Landsberg, with an exact score probability of 17%.

Prediction record

Final result

SpVgg Unterhaching 4-0 Landsberg

Original prediction

SpVgg Unterhaching

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2771.0%55.6%-15.4 pts
Draw5.5216.4%24.2%7.8 pts
Away7.1612.6%20.2%7.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-15.4 pts

Projected Score

SpVgg Unterhaching 2–0 Landsberg

Exact score probability: 17%

Predicted outcome

SpVgg Unterhaching

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

55.6%

SpVgg Unterhaching has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SpVgg UnterhachingDDDDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
LandsbergDLLDW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SpVgg UnterhachingLandsberg
45.5Attack30.3
69.7Defence36.4
60.6Form21.2
60.2Power32.1
2.05xG0.47
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