GGOALVIO

Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 8/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Nurnberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while 1. FC Nürnberg are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and 1. FC Nürnberg hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the 2. Bundesliga, while 1. FC Nürnberg holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Nurnberg

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

12.2%

FC Nurnberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SpVgg Greuther FurthDWLWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC NurnbergWDWDW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SpVgg Greuther FurthFC Nurnberg
33.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power97.0
1.34xG1.69
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