SpVgg Greuther Fürthvs
Eintracht Braunschweig
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SpVgg Greuther Fürth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-0 Eintracht Braunschweig
Original prediction
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 44.1% | 39.2% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 25.0% | 22.8% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 30.9% | 38.0% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00