GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria Premier League 2 · 3/13/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eastern Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Springvale are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Eastern Lions are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Eastern Lions hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (41.6 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the Victoria Premier League 2, while Eastern Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eastern Lions

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

11.7%

Eastern Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SpringvaleWLDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Eastern LionsWLLWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SpringvaleEastern Lions
40.3Attack51.4
38.9Defence47.2
40.3Form36.1
41.6Power45.4
1.38xG1.75
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