Spouwen-Mopertingenvs
Tienen
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spouwen-Mopertingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spouwen-Mopertingen 2-2 Tienen
Original prediction
Spouwen-Mopertingen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 45.3% | 39.0% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.3% | 25.4% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 28.5% | 35.6% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Spouwen-Mopertingen
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Spouwen-Mopertingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80