Spouwen-Mopertingenvs
Thes Sport
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/23/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spouwen-Mopertingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spouwen-Mopertingen 0-3 Thes Sport
Original prediction
Spouwen-Mopertingen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 34.5% | 38.1% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.7% | 25.0% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 38.8% | 36.9% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Spouwen-Mopertingen
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Spouwen-Mopertingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40