Spouwen-Mopertingenvs
Merelbeke
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merelbeke · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spouwen-Mopertingen 1-0 Merelbeke
Original prediction
Merelbeke
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.0% | 35.1% | -12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 24.9% | 25.1% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.1% | 39.7% | 12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Merelbeke
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Merelbeke has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80