Spouwen-Mopertingenvs
Houtvenne
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spouwen-Mopertingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spouwen-Mopertingen 3-4 Houtvenne
Original prediction
Spouwen-Mopertingen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 49.6% | 37.0% | -12.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.3% | 26.6% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.42 | 26.1% | 36.4% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Spouwen-Mopertingen
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Spouwen-Mopertingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80