Spouwen-Mopertingenvs
Heist
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spouwen-Mopertingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spouwen-Mopertingen 3-1 Heist
Original prediction
Spouwen-Mopertingen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.0% | 42.2% | 5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.4% | 25.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 37.6% | 32.3% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Spouwen-Mopertingen
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Spouwen-Mopertingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80