Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burgan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporty 2-4 Burgan
Original prediction
Burgan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Burgan
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Burgan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SportyLWLLL
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
BurganWDLDD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SportyBurgan
20.0Attack36.7
25.0Defence53.3
10.0Form33.3
22.5Power43.1
0.74xG1.60