Sportivo Trinidensevs
Sportivo Luqueno
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 10/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportivo Trinidense · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Sportivo Trinidense 2-0 Sportivo Luqueno, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Trinidense 3-2 Sportivo Luqueno
Original prediction
Sportivo Trinidense
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 50.8% | 70.5% | 19.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.8% | 18.6% | -8.1 pts |
| Away | 4.10 | 22.4% | 10.9% | -11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.7 pts
Projected Score
Sportivo Trinidense 2–0 Sportivo Luqueno
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Sportivo Trinidense
Probability
70.5%
Model confidence
70.5%
Sportivo Trinidense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40