Sportivo Trinidensevs
Olimpia
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportivo Trinidense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sportivo Trinidense 1-0 Olimpia, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Trinidense 1-2 Olimpia
Original prediction
Sportivo Trinidense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.03 | 30.4% | 44.5% | 14.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.9% | 27.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 41.7% | 27.9% | -13.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.1 pts
Projected Score
Sportivo Trinidense 1–0 Olimpia
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Sportivo Trinidense
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Sportivo Trinidense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00