Sportivo Trinidensevs
Nacional Potosí
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/24/2024, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportivo Trinidense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sportivo Trinidense are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nacional Potosí are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nacional Potosí hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Sportivo Trinidense holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sportivo Trinidense
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Sportivo Trinidense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20