Sportivo Trinidensevs
Libertad Asuncion
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 10/18/2026, 10:20:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportivo Trinidense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Trinidense 1-0 Libertad Asuncion
Original prediction
Sportivo Trinidense
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.97 | 30.8% | 43.1% | 12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.4% | 25.9% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 40.8% | 31.0% | -9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Sportivo Trinidense
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Sportivo Trinidense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20