GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/4/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Sportivo Trinidense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fortaleza EC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 50.5-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortaleza EC

Probability

65.7%

Model confidence

65.7%

Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo TrinidenseLDWDW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Fortaleza ECDWWWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sportivo TrinidenseFortaleza EC
0.0Attack71.8
66.7Defence74.4
0.0Form76.9
23.7Power74.1
0.61xG1.95
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