Sportivo Trinidensevs
Club Guarani
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportivo Trinidense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sportivo Trinidense 1-0 Club Guarani, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 Club Guarani
Original prediction
Sportivo Trinidense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.6% | 50.6% | 8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.5% | 28.6% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.9% | 20.9% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Projected Score
Sportivo Trinidense 1–0 Club Guarani
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Sportivo Trinidense
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Sportivo Trinidense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60