Sportivo Trinidensevs
Cerro Porteno
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/26/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportivo Trinidense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sportivo Trinidense 0-0 Cerro Porteno, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Trinidense 2-1 Cerro Porteno
Original prediction
Sportivo Trinidense
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.97 | 30.8% | 42.1% | 11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.3% | 29.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.30 | 39.9% | 28.2% | -11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.3 pts
Projected Score
Sportivo Trinidense 0–0 Cerro Porteno
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Sportivo Trinidense
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Sportivo Trinidense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60