Sportivo Trinidensevs
Boca Juniors
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/9/2024, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boca Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sportivo Trinidense are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Boca Juniors are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors hold a 41.1-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Boca Juniors holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Boca Juniors
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Boca Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00