GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/9/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Boca Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sportivo Trinidense are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Boca Juniors are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors hold a 41.1-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Boca Juniors holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Boca Juniors

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Boca Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo TrinidenseWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Boca JuniorsLWDWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sportivo TrinidenseBoca Juniors
0.0Attack44.4
66.7Defence77.8
0.0Form66.7
23.7Power64.7
0.92xG1.18
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