Sportivo Luquenovs
Sportivo Ameliano
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/6/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportivo Ameliano · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Luqueno 1-2 Sportivo Ameliano
Original prediction
Sportivo Ameliano
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.10 | 29.8% | 32.7% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.7% | 27.1% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 41.6% | 40.2% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Sportivo Ameliano
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Sportivo Ameliano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60