GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/5/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sportivo Luqueno are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sportivo Ameliano are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Luqueno hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (31.9 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo LuquenoLWLDW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sportivo AmelianoLLWLW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Ameliano
19.0Attack33.3
47.6Defence0.0
19.0Form0.0
31.9Power15.3
0.96xG1.13
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