Sportivo Luquenovs
Sportivo Ameliano
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/5/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sportivo Luqueno are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sportivo Ameliano are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Luqueno hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (31.9 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80