Sportivo Luquenovs
Rubio NU
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 8/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportivo Luqueno · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 Rubio NU
Original prediction
Sportivo Luqueno
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 42.2% | 43.4% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 29.3% | 27.0% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 28.4% | 29.6% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Sportivo Luqueno
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Sportivo Luqueno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40