GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/5/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Club · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sportivo Luqueno are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Racing Club are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Club hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (31.9 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Racing Club holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Club

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

Racing Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo LuquenoWDDLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Racing ClubWLDDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Sportivo LuquenoRacing Club
19.0Attack61.1
47.6Defence50.0
19.0Form44.4
31.9Power53.1
0.88xG1.58
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