Sportivo Luquenovs
Gremio
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/3/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gremio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Sportivo Luqueno are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Gremio are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gremio hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (31.9 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Gremio holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gremio
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Gremio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80