GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/8/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sportivo Luqueno are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Coquimbo Unido are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Coquimbo Unido hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (31.9 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo LuquenoLLLWD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Coquimbo UnidoWWLWD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sportivo LuquenoCoquimbo Unido
19.0Attack23.8
47.6Defence66.7
19.0Form38.1
31.9Power44.9
0.69xG0.86
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