Sportivo Luquenovs
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 10/18/2026, 10:20:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportivo Luqueno · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Luqueno 3-2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Original prediction
Sportivo Luqueno
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 50.0% | 47.4% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.1% | 27.2% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.99 | 22.9% | 25.4% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Sportivo Luqueno
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Sportivo Luqueno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00