Sportivo Luquenovs
Club Guarani
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Profesional - Clausura · 9/25/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Guarani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 Club Guarani, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 Club Guarani
Original prediction
Club Guarani
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.9% | 21.3% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.1% | 27.9% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 40.0% | 50.7% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.7 pts
Projected Score
Sportivo Luqueno 0–1 Club Guarani
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Club Guarani
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Club Guarani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60