GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/14/2025, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sportivo Luqueno are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atletico Grau are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Grau hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (31.9 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo LuquenoLDLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico GrauDDLDD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sportivo LuquenoAtletico Grau
19.0Attack23.8
47.6Defence57.1
19.0Form23.8
31.9Power38.0
0.83xG0.84
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