GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sportivo Las Parejas are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sarmiento Resistencia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Las Parejas hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.2% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

34.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sportivo Las ParejasDDLDD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Sarmiento ResistenciaWLLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sportivo Las ParejasSarmiento Resistencia
19.0Attack26.3
76.2Defence49.1
41.3Form31.6
48.4Power38.5
0.76xG0.34
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